Predictions 10 Years Later

Larry Williams's The Right Stock at the Right Time: Prospering in the Coming Goods Years is a marriage of investment advice with attempts at formalizing what is, essentially, market speculation.
The first three chapters trace cyclical behavior over the history of the U.S. stock market, behavior that Williams summarizes as the "10-year pattern," the "sure thing seven years," "the four-year phenomenon," the "straight eight factor," and "the October effect." Pulling these all together, he makes predictions about the likely best times in the coming decade for investors to adjust their portfolios.

Friedman is the founder of Stratfor, an independent geopolitical forecasting company, and his authoritative-sounding predictions are based on such factors as natural resources and population cycles. While these concrete measures lend his short-term forecasts credence, the later years of Friedmans 100-year cycle will provoke some serious eyebrow raising. The armed border clashes between Mexico and the United States in the 2080s seem relatively plausible, but the space war pitting Japan and Turkey against the United States and allies, prognosticated to begin precisely on Thanksgiving Day 2050, reads as fantastic (and terrifying) science fiction. Whether all of the visions in Friedmans crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment.

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