Probability

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We have made small changes throughout the book, including the exercises, and we have tried to correct if not all, then at least most of the typos. We wish to thank the many colleagues and students who have commented c- structively on the book since its publication two years ago, and in particular Professors Valentin Petrov, Esko Valkeila, Volker Priebe, and Frank Knight. Jean Jacod, Paris Philip Protter, Ithaca March, 2002 Preface to the Second Printing of the Second Edition We have bene?ted greatly from the long list of typos and small suggestions sent to us by Professor Luis Tenorio. These corrections have improved the book in subtle yet important ways, and the authors are most grateful to him.

"40 Puzzles and Problems in Probability and Mathematical Statistics" is intended to teach the reader to think probabilistically by solving challenging, non-standard probability problems. The motivation for this clearly written collection lies in the belief that challenging problems help to develop, and to sharpen, our probabilistic intuition much better than plain-style deductions from abstract concepts. The selected problems fall into two broad categories. Problems related to probability theory come first, followed by problems related to the application of probability to the field of mathematical statistics. All problems seek to convey a non-standard aspect or an approach which is not immediately obvious.

This course, along with Part 2, provide the necessary skills and knowledge to pass SOA Exam P and CAS Exam 1

Problems in Probability comprises one of the most comprehensive, nearly encyclopedic, collections of problems and exercises in probability theory. Albert Shiryaev has skillfully created, collected, and compiled the exercises in this text over the course of many years while working on topics which interested him the most.

This is a text for a one-quarter or one-semester course in probability, aimed at students who have done a year of calculus. The book is organised so a student can learn the fundamental ideas of probability from the first three chapters without reliance on calculus. Later chapters develop these ideas further using calculus tools. The book contains more than the usual number of examples worked out in detail.